Peg Instability Detector — 2026-06-14
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 5
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-06-13T22:30:34.436000+00:00 → 2026-06-14T22:30:47+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9996 | 4 | 0.3798 | Moderate | 0.022 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9977 | 23 | 0.4240 | Moderate | 0.122 | 1.000 | 0.096 | unknown |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3736 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.092 | improving |
| USDT | $0.9994 | 6 | 0.3818 | Moderate | 0.031 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDe | $0.9996 | 4 | 0.3773 | Moderate | 0.021 | 1.000 | 0.090 | improving |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9996 (4 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3798 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0223
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 288 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0988
- MiPD score: 0.1233 (vol: 0.000098, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9977 (23 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4240 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1219
- Persistence: 4m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 287 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0958
- MiPD score: 0.1178 (vol: 0.000092, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3736 — Moderate
- Trend: improving
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0116
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 288 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0918
- MiPD score: 0.1105 (vol: 0.000058, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9994 (6 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3818 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0306
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 288 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0901
- MiPD score: 0.1074 (vol: 0.000039, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDe
- Price: $0.9996 (4 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3773 — Moderate
- Trend: improving
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0205
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 287 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0904
- MiPD score: 0.1080 (vol: 0.000034, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology