Peg Instability Detector — 2026-06-15
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 6
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-06-14T22:30:29.333000+00:00 → 2026-06-15T22:31:04+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3759 | Moderate | 0.013 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9982 | 18 | 0.4218 | Moderate | 0.117 | 1.000 | 0.095 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3719 | Moderate | 0.009 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9995 | 5 | 0.3795 | Moderate | 0.025 | 1.000 | 0.091 | stable |
| USDe | $0.9995 | 5 | 0.3798 | Moderate | 0.027 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| crvUSD | $0.9995 | 5 | 0.3830 | Moderate | 0.027 | 1.000 | 0.104 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3759 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0133
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 859 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0994
- MiPD score: 0.1243 (vol: 0.000093, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9982 (18 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4218 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1173
- Persistence: 16m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 859 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0952
- MiPD score: 0.1168 (vol: 0.000108, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3719 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0091
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 860 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0888
- MiPD score: 0.1052 (vol: 0.000043, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9995 (5 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3795 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0251
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 860 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0910
- MiPD score: 0.1092 (vol: 0.000035, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDe
- Price: $0.9995 (5 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3798 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0266
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 860 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0890
- MiPD score: 0.1055 (vol: 0.000036, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
crvUSD
- Price: $0.9995 (5 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3830 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0268
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 286 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1045
- MiPD score: 0.1337 (vol: 0.000138, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology