Peg Instability Detector — 2026-06-17
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-06-16T22:30:37.644000+00:00 → 2026-06-17T22:30:33+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3740 | Moderate | 0.009 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9980 | 20 | 0.4139 | Moderate | 0.101 | 1.000 | 0.093 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3724 | Moderate | 0.008 | 1.000 | 0.094 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9992 | 8 | 0.3851 | Moderate | 0.038 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3740 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0095
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0986
- MiPD score: 0.1229 (vol: 0.000109, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9980 (20 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4139 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1005
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0933
- MiPD score: 0.1134 (vol: 0.000100, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3724 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0078
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0943
- MiPD score: 0.1151 (vol: 0.000072, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9992 (8 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3851 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0380
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0899
- MiPD score: 0.1072 (vol: 0.000043, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology