Peg Instability Detector — 2026-06-20
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-06-19T22:30:29.910000+00:00 → 2026-06-20T22:31:18+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3768 | Moderate | 0.015 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9982 | 18 | 0.4083 | Moderate | 0.089 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3732 | Moderate | 0.009 | 1.000 | 0.095 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9989 | 11 | 0.3933 | Moderate | 0.055 | 1.000 | 0.092 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3768 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0153
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0994
- MiPD score: 0.1243 (vol: 0.000101, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9982 (18 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4083 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0894
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0902
- MiPD score: 0.1076 (vol: 0.000085, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3732 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0095
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0946
- MiPD score: 0.1156 (vol: 0.000082, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9989 (11 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3933 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0552
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0923
- MiPD score: 0.1115 (vol: 0.000052, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology