Peg Instability Detector — 2026-06-21
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-06-20T22:30:44.960000+00:00 → 2026-06-21T22:31:06+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3748 | Moderate | 0.014 | 1.000 | 0.092 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9979 | 21 | 0.4176 | Moderate | 0.104 | 1.000 | 0.103 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3700 | Moderate | 0.003 | 1.000 | 0.092 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9989 | 11 | 0.3930 | Moderate | 0.055 | 1.000 | 0.091 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3748 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0144
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0916
- MiPD score: 0.1102 (vol: 0.000095, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9979 (21 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4176 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1043
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1034
- MiPD score: 0.1316 (vol: 0.000087, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3700 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0034
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0923
- MiPD score: 0.1114 (vol: 0.000069, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9989 (11 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3930 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0553
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0908
- MiPD score: 0.1088 (vol: 0.000054, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology