Peg Instability Detector — 2026-06-22
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-06-21T22:30:49.083000+00:00 → 2026-06-22T22:31:17+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3749 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.097 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9983 | 17 | 0.4083 | Moderate | 0.085 | 1.000 | 0.100 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3748 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9990 | 10 | 0.3912 | Moderate | 0.052 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3749 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0123
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0968
- MiPD score: 0.1196 (vol: 0.000132, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9983 (17 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4083 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0852
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0996
- MiPD score: 0.1248 (vol: 0.000106, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3748 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0124
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0960
- MiPD score: 0.1182 (vol: 0.000063, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9990 (10 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3912 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0524
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0882
- MiPD score: 0.1040 (vol: 0.000047, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology