Peg Instability Detector — 2026-07-04
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-07-03T22:30:42.632000+00:00 → 2026-07-04T22:31:07+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3772 | Moderate | 0.015 | 1.000 | 0.103 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9977 | 23 | 0.4231 | Moderate | 0.119 | 1.000 | 0.097 | improving |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3708 | Moderate | 0.007 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9992 | 8 | 0.3866 | Moderate | 0.041 | 1.000 | 0.090 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3772 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0145
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1032
- MiPD score: 0.1314 (vol: 0.000117, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9977 (23 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4231 — Moderate
- Trend: improving
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1194
- Persistence: 2m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0968
- MiPD score: 0.1197 (vol: 0.000082, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3708 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0071
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0882
- MiPD score: 0.1040 (vol: 0.000044, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9992 (8 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3866 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0412
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0901
- MiPD score: 0.1074 (vol: 0.000039, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology