Peg Instability Detector — 2026-07-21
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-07-20T22:30:54.069000+00:00 → 2026-07-21T22:31:04+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3736 | Moderate | 0.009 | 1.000 | 0.097 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9982 | 18 | 0.4536 | Moderate | 0.175 | 1.000 | 0.124 | improving |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3699 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9994 | 6 | 0.3822 | Moderate | 0.032 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3736 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0095
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0968
- MiPD score: 0.1196 (vol: 0.000104, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9982 (18 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4536 — Moderate
- Trend: improving
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1750
- Persistence: 49m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1243
- MiPD score: 0.1696 (vol: 0.000240, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3699 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0043
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0898
- MiPD score: 0.1070 (vol: 0.000044, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9994 (6 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3822 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0319
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0892
- MiPD score: 0.1059 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology