Peg Instability Detector — 2026-07-22
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-07-21T22:31:35.708000+00:00 → 2026-07-22T22:30:47+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3710 | Moderate | 0.005 | 1.000 | 0.094 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9978 | 22 | 0.4813 | Moderate | 0.246 | 1.000 | 0.103 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3682 | Moderate | 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9995 | 5 | 0.3798 | Moderate | 0.027 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3710 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0048
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0943
- MiPD score: 0.1151 (vol: 0.000112, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9978 (22 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4813 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.2461
- Persistence: 79m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1030
- MiPD score: 0.1310 (vol: 0.000233, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3682 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0010
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0888
- MiPD score: 0.1050 (vol: 0.000039, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9995 (5 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3798 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0271
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0880
- MiPD score: 0.1036 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology