Peg Instability Detector — 2026-08-08
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-07T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-08-08T22:29:10+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3747 | Moderate | 0.010 | 1.000 | 0.100 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9975 | 25 | 0.4992 | Moderate | 0.292 | 1.000 | 0.089 | improving |
| USDC | $0.9996 | 4 | 0.3760 | Moderate | 0.019 | 1.000 | 0.087 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9993 | 7 | 0.3824 | Moderate | 0.033 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3747 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0103
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1001
- MiPD score: 0.1256 (vol: 0.000117, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9975 (25 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4992 — Moderate
- Trend: improving
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.2917
- Persistence: 95m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: attention (monitor)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0895
- MiPD score: 0.1064 (vol: 0.000043, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9996 (4 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3760 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0190
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0875
- MiPD score: 0.1027 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9993 (7 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3824 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0331
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0877
- MiPD score: 0.1031 (vol: 0.000018, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology