Peg Instability Detector — 2026-08-23
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-22T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-08-23T22:29:00+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3702 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9980 | 20 | 0.4120 | Moderate | 0.098 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3694 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3699 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.090 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3702 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0022
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0960
- MiPD score: 0.1182 (vol: 0.000113, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9980 (20 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4120 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0984
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0888
- MiPD score: 0.1051 (vol: 0.000058, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3694 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0042
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0878
- MiPD score: 0.1032 (vol: 0.000029, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3699 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0041
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0904
- MiPD score: 0.1080 (vol: 0.000028, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology