Peg Instability Detector — 2026-08-24

Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 3
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-23T10:35:00+00:00 → 2026-08-24T10:29:10+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0

🛡️ Composite Risk Scores High score = higher risk

Per-Coin Results

CoinPriceOff Peg (bps)Composite ScoreRisk LevelLane 1Lane 2Lane 3Trend
DAI$0.999820.3737Moderate0.0081.0000.100stable
FDUSD$0.9982180.4089Moderate0.0891.0000.095stable
USDC$0.999820.3732Moderate0.0091.0000.095stable

Detailed Analysis

DAI

  • Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.3737 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0083
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.0996
  • MiPD score: 0.1246 (vol: 0.000111, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

FDUSD

  • Price: $0.9982 (18 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.4089 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0889
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.0946
  • MiPD score: 0.1156 (vol: 0.000055, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

USDC

  • Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.3732 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0091
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.0954
  • MiPD score: 0.1171 (vol: 0.000032, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology