Peg Instability Detector — 2026-08-25
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-24T10:35:00+00:00 → 2026-08-25T10:29:20+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0001 | 1 | 0.3710 | Moderate | 0.003 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9988 | 12 | 0.3955 | Moderate | 0.060 | 1.000 | 0.092 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3710 | Moderate | 0.007 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3731 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0001 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3710 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0027
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0987
- MiPD score: 0.1231 (vol: 0.000121, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9988 (12 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3955 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0601
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0925
- MiPD score: 0.1118 (vol: 0.000065, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3710 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0072
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0886
- MiPD score: 0.1047 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3731 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0122
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0881
- MiPD score: 0.1039 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology