Peg Instability Detector — 2026-08-25
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-24T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-08-25T22:28:50+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3723 | Moderate | 0.008 | 1.000 | 0.094 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9984 | 16 | 0.4044 | Moderate | 0.081 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3698 | Moderate | 0.005 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3704 | Moderate | 0.006 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3723 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0079
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0936
- MiPD score: 0.1139 (vol: 0.000111, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9984 (16 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4044 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0814
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0891
- MiPD score: 0.1057 (vol: 0.000064, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3698 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0048
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0884
- MiPD score: 0.1044 (vol: 0.000020, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3704 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0062
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0882
- MiPD score: 0.1040 (vol: 0.000020, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology