Peg Instability Detector — 2026-08-28
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 5
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-27T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-08-28T22:29:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3696 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.093 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9991 | 9 | 0.3893 | Moderate | 0.047 | 1.000 | 0.091 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3683 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3683 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
| USDe | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3694 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3696 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0023
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0928
- MiPD score: 0.1124 (vol: 0.000116, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9991 (9 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3893 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0469
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0911
- MiPD score: 0.1093 (vol: 0.000056, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3683 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0016
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0878
- MiPD score: 0.1032 (vol: 0.000029, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3683 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0015
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0882
- MiPD score: 0.1040 (vol: 0.000026, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDe
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3694 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0040
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0881
- MiPD score: 0.1038 (vol: 0.000028, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology