Peg Instability Detector — 2026-08-29

Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 3
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-28T10:35:00+00:00 → 2026-08-29T10:28:50+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0

🛡️ Composite Risk Scores High score = higher risk

Per-Coin Results

CoinPriceOff Peg (bps)Composite ScoreRisk LevelLane 1Lane 2Lane 3Trend
DAI$0.999910.3726Moderate0.0071.0000.098stable
FDUSD$0.9985150.4012Moderate0.0731.0000.092stable
USDC$1.000000.3684Moderate0.0021.0000.087stable

Detailed Analysis

DAI

  • Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.3726 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0069
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.0975
  • MiPD score: 0.1208 (vol: 0.000113, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

FDUSD

  • Price: $0.9985 (15 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.4012 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0728
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.0920
  • MiPD score: 0.1109 (vol: 0.000059, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

USDC

  • Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.3684 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0021
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.0873
  • MiPD score: 0.1023 (vol: 0.000020, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology