Peg Instability Detector — 2026-08-29
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-28T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-08-29T22:29:50+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0001 | 1 | 0.3712 | Moderate | 0.003 | 1.000 | 0.100 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9986 | 14 | 0.3999 | Moderate | 0.070 | 1.000 | 0.092 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3682 | Moderate | 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3677 | Moderate | 0.000 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0001 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3712 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0027
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0999
- MiPD score: 0.1252 (vol: 0.000110, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9986 (14 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3999 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0700
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0918
- MiPD score: 0.1106 (vol: 0.000048, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3682 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0007
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0895
- MiPD score: 0.1063 (vol: 0.000030, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3677 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0002
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0882
- MiPD score: 0.1039 (vol: 0.000016, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology