Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-01
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-08-31T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-01T22:29:00+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3744 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9983 | 17 | 0.4074 | Moderate | 0.087 | 1.000 | 0.091 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3729 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9996 | 4 | 0.3762 | Moderate | 0.019 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3744 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0116
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0961
- MiPD score: 0.1183 (vol: 0.000121, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9983 (17 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4074 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0872
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0906
- MiPD score: 0.1083 (vol: 0.000056, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3729 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0117
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0883
- MiPD score: 0.1042 (vol: 0.000024, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9996 (4 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3762 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0192
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0879
- MiPD score: 0.1035 (vol: 0.000022, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology