Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-04
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-03T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-04T22:29:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3771 | Moderate | 0.017 | 1.000 | 0.097 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9988 | 12 | 0.3941 | Moderate | 0.058 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3677 | Moderate | 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $1.0002 | 2 | 0.3728 | Moderate | 0.011 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3771 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0173
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0966
- MiPD score: 0.1194 (vol: 0.000113, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9988 (12 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3941 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0584
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0891
- MiPD score: 0.1056 (vol: 0.000076, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3677 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0005
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0876
- MiPD score: 0.1029 (vol: 0.000024, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $1.0002 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3728 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0113
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0884
- MiPD score: 0.1044 (vol: 0.000027, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology