Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-06
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-05T22:45:00+00:00 → 2026-09-06T22:43:10+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0001 | 1 | 0.3714 | Moderate | 0.003 | 1.000 | 0.101 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9991 | 9 | 0.3895 | Moderate | 0.047 | 1.000 | 0.091 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3685 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3678 | Moderate | 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0001 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3714 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0026
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1013
- MiPD score: 0.1278 (vol: 0.000122, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9991 (9 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3895 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0473
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0912
- MiPD score: 0.1095 (vol: 0.000054, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3685 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0018
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0883
- MiPD score: 0.1042 (vol: 0.000019, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3678 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0006
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0878
- MiPD score: 0.1032 (vol: 0.000020, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology