Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-07
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 3
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-06T10:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-07T10:28:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3712 | Moderate | 0.005 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9989 | 11 | 0.3923 | Moderate | 0.055 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3687 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3712 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0046
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0959
- MiPD score: 0.1180 (vol: 0.000115, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9989 (11 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3923 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0546
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0889
- MiPD score: 0.1053 (vol: 0.000053, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3687 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0019
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0890
- MiPD score: 0.1054 (vol: 0.000028, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology