Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-11
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-10T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-11T22:29:00+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3750 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9988 | 12 | 0.3972 | Moderate | 0.062 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3710 | Moderate | 0.007 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3720 | Moderate | 0.009 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3750 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0117
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0988
- MiPD score: 0.1232 (vol: 0.000118, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9988 (12 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3972 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0622
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0962
- MiPD score: 0.1185 (vol: 0.000063, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3710 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0073
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0886
- MiPD score: 0.1047 (vol: 0.000025, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3720 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0092
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0892
- MiPD score: 0.1059 (vol: 0.000039, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology