Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-12
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-11T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-12T22:29:00+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3713 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.097 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9986 | 14 | 0.4001 | Moderate | 0.070 | 1.000 | 0.093 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3694 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3710 | Moderate | 0.008 | 1.000 | 0.087 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3713 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0044
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0967
- MiPD score: 0.1194 (vol: 0.000113, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9986 (14 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4001 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0701
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0930
- MiPD score: 0.1126 (vol: 0.000047, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3694 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0035
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0889
- MiPD score: 0.1052 (vol: 0.000014, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3710 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0077
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0875
- MiPD score: 0.1027 (vol: 0.000015, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology