Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-13
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 3
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-12T10:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-13T10:29:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3747 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9984 | 16 | 0.4046 | Moderate | 0.081 | 1.000 | 0.091 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3728 | Moderate | 0.012 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3747 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0120
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0964
- MiPD score: 0.1189 (vol: 0.000111, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9984 (16 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4046 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0808
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0913
- MiPD score: 0.1096 (vol: 0.000042, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3728 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0117
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0879
- MiPD score: 0.1035 (vol: 0.000017, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology