Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-15
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-14T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-15T22:29:00+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3720 | Moderate | 0.006 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9980 | 20 | 0.4144 | Moderate | 0.101 | 1.000 | 0.094 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3748 | Moderate | 0.016 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9994 | 6 | 0.3814 | Moderate | 0.030 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3720 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0065
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0955
- MiPD score: 0.1174 (vol: 0.000116, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9980 (20 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4144 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1014
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0936
- MiPD score: 0.1138 (vol: 0.000065, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3748 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0156
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0887
- MiPD score: 0.1049 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9994 (6 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3814 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0303
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0888
- MiPD score: 0.1051 (vol: 0.000025, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology