Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-16
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-15T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-16T22:29:20+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3711 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.095 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9980 | 20 | 0.4148 | Moderate | 0.100 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3742 | Moderate | 0.014 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9994 | 6 | 0.3811 | Moderate | 0.029 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3711 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0044
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0954
- MiPD score: 0.1171 (vol: 0.000125, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9980 (20 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4148 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1001
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0986
- MiPD score: 0.1228 (vol: 0.000058, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3742 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0143
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0890
- MiPD score: 0.1054 (vol: 0.000062, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9994 (6 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3811 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0295
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0892
- MiPD score: 0.1058 (vol: 0.000024, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology