Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-17
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-16T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-17T22:29:00+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3704 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9980 | 20 | 0.4155 | Moderate | 0.103 | 1.000 | 0.095 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3755 | Moderate | 0.018 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9993 | 7 | 0.3829 | Moderate | 0.034 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3704 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0015
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0987
- MiPD score: 0.1230 (vol: 0.000121, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9980 (20 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4155 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1033
- Persistence: 1m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0953
- MiPD score: 0.1168 (vol: 0.000071, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3755 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0175
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0879
- MiPD score: 0.1035 (vol: 0.000047, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9993 (7 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3829 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0342
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0877
- MiPD score: 0.1031 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology