Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-18
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-17T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-18T22:29:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3710 | Moderate | 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.102 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9995 | 5 | 0.3797 | Moderate | 0.025 | 1.000 | 0.092 | improving |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3720 | Moderate | 0.009 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3739 | Moderate | 0.013 | 1.000 | 0.090 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3710 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0011
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1025
- MiPD score: 0.1300 (vol: 0.000117, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9995 (5 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3797 — Moderate
- Trend: improving
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0253
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0917
- MiPD score: 0.1104 (vol: 0.000096, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3720 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0093
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0890
- MiPD score: 0.1055 (vol: 0.000020, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3739 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0133
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0897
- MiPD score: 0.1068 (vol: 0.000022, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology