Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-19
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 5
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-18T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-19T22:29:20+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3760 | Moderate | 0.013 | 1.000 | 0.101 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9987 | 13 | 0.3969 | Moderate | 0.063 | 1.000 | 0.093 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3746 | Moderate | 0.015 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9996 | 4 | 0.3776 | Moderate | 0.022 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
| USDe | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3757 | Moderate | 0.017 | 1.000 | 0.090 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3760 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0130
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1007
- MiPD score: 0.1267 (vol: 0.000119, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9987 (13 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3969 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0628
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0933
- MiPD score: 0.1132 (vol: 0.000071, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3746 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0153
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0886
- MiPD score: 0.1048 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9996 (4 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3776 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0216
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0893
- MiPD score: 0.1061 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDe
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3757 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0170
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0902
- MiPD score: 0.1077 (vol: 0.000025, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology