Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-20
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-19T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-20T22:29:00+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3703 | Moderate | 0.003 | 1.000 | 0.095 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9986 | 14 | 0.4005 | Moderate | 0.072 | 1.000 | 0.091 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3741 | Moderate | 0.014 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3745 | Moderate | 0.015 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3703 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0031
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0947
- MiPD score: 0.1157 (vol: 0.000122, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9986 (14 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4005 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0717
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0912
- MiPD score: 0.1095 (vol: 0.000052, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3741 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0139
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0893
- MiPD score: 0.1060 (vol: 0.000054, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3745 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0148
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0893
- MiPD score: 0.1060 (vol: 0.000025, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology