Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-21
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-20T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-21T22:28:50+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3701 | Moderate | 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.099 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9992 | 8 | 0.3853 | Moderate | 0.038 | 1.000 | 0.091 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3713 | Moderate | 0.008 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3731 | Moderate | 0.011 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3701 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0009
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0985
- MiPD score: 0.1226 (vol: 0.000118, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9992 (8 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3853 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0378
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0913
- MiPD score: 0.1096 (vol: 0.000095, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3713 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0079
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0885
- MiPD score: 0.1045 (vol: 0.000029, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3731 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0115
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0894
- MiPD score: 0.1063 (vol: 0.000030, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology