Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-22
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-21T22:40:00+00:00 → 2026-09-22T22:37:30+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3705 | Moderate | 0.003 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9993 | 7 | 0.3825 | Moderate | 0.033 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3694 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.087 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3692 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.087 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3705 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0030
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0956
- MiPD score: 0.1175 (vol: 0.000106, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9993 (7 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3825 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0329
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0884
- MiPD score: 0.1044 (vol: 0.000055, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3694 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0043
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0875
- MiPD score: 0.1027 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3692 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0039
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0873
- MiPD score: 0.1024 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology