Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-23
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-22T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-23T22:28:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0001 | 1 | 0.3723 | Moderate | 0.003 | 1.000 | 0.106 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9989 | 11 | 0.3937 | Moderate | 0.056 | 1.000 | 0.093 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3698 | Moderate | 0.005 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3699 | Moderate | 0.005 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0001 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3723 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0026
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1058
- MiPD score: 0.1360 (vol: 0.000108, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9989 (11 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3937 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0559
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0928
- MiPD score: 0.1124 (vol: 0.000085, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3698 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0051
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0876
- MiPD score: 0.1029 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3699 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0053
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0876
- MiPD score: 0.1029 (vol: 0.000021, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology