Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-25
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-24T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-25T22:29:10+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3714 | Moderate | 0.005 | 1.000 | 0.095 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9992 | 8 | 0.3861 | Moderate | 0.040 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3703 | Moderate | 0.005 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3723 | Moderate | 0.010 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3714 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0054
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0950
- MiPD score: 0.1164 (vol: 0.000124, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9992 (8 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3861 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0402
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0899
- MiPD score: 0.1070 (vol: 0.000052, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3703 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0054
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0895
- MiPD score: 0.1064 (vol: 0.000030, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3723 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0099
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0894
- MiPD score: 0.1061 (vol: 0.000025, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology