Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-28
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-27T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-28T22:29:30+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0001 | 1 | 0.3703 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.092 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9984 | 16 | 0.4056 | Moderate | 0.082 | 1.000 | 0.093 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3706 | Moderate | 0.006 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3746 | Moderate | 0.015 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0001 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3703 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0041
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0922
- MiPD score: 0.1112 (vol: 0.000104, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9984 (16 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4056 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0821
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0933
- MiPD score: 0.1132 (vol: 0.000060, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3706 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0058
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0897
- MiPD score: 0.1068 (vol: 0.000036, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3746 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0149
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0894
- MiPD score: 0.1062 (vol: 0.000027, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology