Peg Instability Detector — 2026-09-30
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-29T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-09-30T22:29:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0001 | 1 | 0.3713 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.098 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9985 | 15 | 0.4012 | Moderate | 0.073 | 1.000 | 0.092 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3724 | Moderate | 0.011 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9996 | 4 | 0.3774 | Moderate | 0.022 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0001 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3713 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0038
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0982
- MiPD score: 0.1221 (vol: 0.000128, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9985 (15 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4012 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0728
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0924
- MiPD score: 0.1117 (vol: 0.000070, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3724 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0105
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0884
- MiPD score: 0.1044 (vol: 0.000050, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9996 (4 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3774 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0218
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0878
- MiPD score: 0.1033 (vol: 0.000022, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology