Peg Instability Detector — 2026-10-01
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-09-30T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-10-01T22:30:00+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3712 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9989 | 11 | 0.3935 | Moderate | 0.056 | 1.000 | 0.091 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3706 | Moderate | 0.006 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3743 | Moderate | 0.015 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3712 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0042
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0963
- MiPD score: 0.1186 (vol: 0.000109, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9989 (11 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3935 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0563
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0908
- MiPD score: 0.1088 (vol: 0.000056, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3706 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0060
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0896
- MiPD score: 0.1066 (vol: 0.000052, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3743 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0147
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0885
- MiPD score: 0.1046 (vol: 0.000023, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology