Peg Instability Detector — 2026-10-02
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-10-01T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-10-02T22:29:20+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3693 | Moderate | 0.003 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9987 | 13 | 0.3971 | Moderate | 0.064 | 1.000 | 0.092 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3681 | Moderate | 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3693 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3693 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0029
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0899
- MiPD score: 0.1070 (vol: 0.000120, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9987 (13 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3971 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0639
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0916
- MiPD score: 0.1103 (vol: 0.000054, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3681 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0011
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0880
- MiPD score: 0.1036 (vol: 0.000025, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3693 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0038
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0879
- MiPD score: 0.1035 (vol: 0.000024, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology