Peg Instability Detector — 2026-10-03
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 4
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-10-02T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-10-03T22:29:10+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3727 | Moderate | 0.008 | 1.000 | 0.095 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9990 | 10 | 0.3934 | Moderate | 0.051 | 1.000 | 0.103 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3678 | Moderate | 0.001 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3702 | Moderate | 0.006 | 1.000 | 0.087 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3727 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0084
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0945
- MiPD score: 0.1155 (vol: 0.000122, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9990 (10 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3934 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0507
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1029
- MiPD score: 0.1307 (vol: 0.000072, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3678 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0005
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0877
- MiPD score: 0.1031 (vol: 0.000022, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3702 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0062
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0869
- MiPD score: 0.1017 (vol: 0.000017, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology