Peg Instability Detector — 2026-10-04
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 5
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-10-03T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-10-04T22:29:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3701 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.097 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9991 | 9 | 0.3875 | Moderate | 0.044 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3684 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3705 | Moderate | 0.007 | 1.000 | 0.087 | unknown |
| USDe | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3757 | Moderate | 0.017 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3701 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0015
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0972
- MiPD score: 0.1203 (vol: 0.000107, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9991 (9 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3875 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0439
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0888
- MiPD score: 0.1050 (vol: 0.000046, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3684 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0019
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0877
- MiPD score: 0.1030 (vol: 0.000048, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3705 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0066
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0875
- MiPD score: 0.1028 (vol: 0.000013, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDe
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3757 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0174
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0894
- MiPD score: 0.1062 (vol: 0.000030, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology