Peg Instability Detector — 2026-10-05
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 5
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-10-04T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-10-05T22:29:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3723 | Moderate | 0.007 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9988 | 12 | 0.3950 | Moderate | 0.060 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDC | $1.0000 | 0 | 0.3687 | Moderate | 0.002 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9999 | 1 | 0.3692 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.088 | unknown |
| USDe | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3747 | Moderate | 0.015 | 1.000 | 0.090 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3723 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0068
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0963
- MiPD score: 0.1187 (vol: 0.000112, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9988 (12 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3950 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0600
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0900
- MiPD score: 0.1072 (vol: 0.000055, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3687 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0024
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0882
- MiPD score: 0.1041 (vol: 0.000057, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3692 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0037
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0877
- MiPD score: 0.1032 (vol: 0.000026, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDe
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3747 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0147
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0903
- MiPD score: 0.1078 (vol: 0.000047, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology