Peg Instability Detector — 2026-10-07

Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 3
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-10-06T10:35:00+00:00 → 2026-10-07T10:29:40+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0

🛡️ Composite Risk Scores High score = higher risk

Per-Coin Results

CoinPriceOff Peg (bps)Composite ScoreRisk LevelLane 1Lane 2Lane 3Trend
DAI$1.000000.3709Moderate0.0011.0000.102stable
FDUSD$0.9986140.4002Moderate0.0721.0000.090stable
USDC$0.999910.3696Moderate0.0041.0000.089stable

Detailed Analysis

DAI

  • Price: $1.0000 (0 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.3709 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0012
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.1020
  • MiPD score: 0.1290 (vol: 0.000112, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

FDUSD

  • Price: $0.9986 (14 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.4002 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0716
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.0901
  • MiPD score: 0.1074 (vol: 0.000052, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

USDC

  • Price: $0.9999 (1 bps off peg)
  • Composite score: 0.3696 — Moderate
  • Trend: stable

Lane 1 — Price Deviation:

  • Score: 0.0042
  • Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
  • Alert: none (stable)

Lane 2 — BOCD:

  • Score: 1.0000
  • Changepoint probability: 0.9993
  • Current run length: 1439 observations

Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:

  • Score: 0.0887
  • MiPD score: 0.1050 (vol: 0.000023, corr: 0.30)
  • LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)

Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology