Peg Instability Detector — 2026-10-13
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 5
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-10-12T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-10-13T22:29:30+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0003 | 3 | 0.3797 | Moderate | 0.017 | 1.000 | 0.110 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9983 | 17 | 0.4515 | Moderate | 0.185 | 1.000 | 0.092 | improving |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3718 | Moderate | 0.009 | 1.000 | 0.089 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9994 | 6 | 0.3819 | Moderate | 0.031 | 1.000 | 0.089 | unknown |
| USDe | $0.9996 | 4 | 0.3774 | Moderate | 0.021 | 1.000 | 0.091 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0003 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3797 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0170
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1102
- MiPD score: 0.1440 (vol: 0.000125, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9983 (17 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4515 — Moderate
- Trend: improving
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.1848
- Persistence: 58m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0917
- MiPD score: 0.1104 (vol: 0.000073, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3718 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0086
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0895
- MiPD score: 0.1064 (vol: 0.000035, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9994 (6 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3819 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0311
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0895
- MiPD score: 0.1063 (vol: 0.000043, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDe
- Price: $0.9996 (4 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3774 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0206
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0908
- MiPD score: 0.1088 (vol: 0.000037, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology