Peg Instability Detector — 2026-10-31
Status: ⚠️ Moderate
Coins analyzed: 5
Active alerts: 0
Data window: 2026-10-30T22:35:00+00:00 → 2026-10-31T22:29:30+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $1.0005 | 5 | 0.3813 | Moderate | 0.027 | 1.000 | 0.095 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9979 | 21 | 0.4830 | Moderate | 0.255 | 1.000 | 0.093 | improving |
| USDC | $1.0001 | 1 | 0.3698 | Moderate | 0.004 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDT | $0.9995 | 5 | 0.3787 | Moderate | 0.024 | 1.000 | 0.090 | stable |
| USDe | $0.9991 | 9 | 0.3889 | Moderate | 0.045 | 1.000 | 0.093 | unknown |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $1.0005 (5 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3813 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0273
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0953
- MiPD score: 0.1169 (vol: 0.000105, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9979 (21 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.4830 — Moderate
- Trend: improving
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.2545
- Persistence: 86m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0926
- MiPD score: 0.1120 (vol: 0.000053, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $1.0001 (1 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3698 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0040
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0902
- MiPD score: 0.1076 (vol: 0.000047, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDT
- Price: $0.9995 (5 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3787 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0236
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0903
- MiPD score: 0.1078 (vol: 0.000038, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDe
- Price: $0.9991 (9 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3889 — Moderate
- Trend: unknown
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0451
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0929
- MiPD score: 0.1126 (vol: 0.000055, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology