Peg Instability Detector — 2026-07-15
Status: ⚠️ HIGH
Coins analyzed: 3
Active alerts: 1
Data window: 2026-07-14T10:31:09.486000+00:00 → 2026-07-15T10:30:36+00:00
Pipeline version: 2.0.0
🛡️ Composite Risk Scores
High score = higher risk
Per-Coin Results
| Coin | Price | Off Peg (bps) | Composite Score | Risk Level | Lane 1 | Lane 2 | Lane 3 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAI | $0.9997 | 3 | 0.3761 | Moderate | 0.015 | 1.000 | 0.096 | stable |
| FDUSD | $0.9974 | 26 | 0.6285 | High | 0.571 | 1.000 | 0.107 | stable |
| USDC | $0.9998 | 2 | 0.3712 | Moderate | 0.008 | 1.000 | 0.088 | stable |
Active Alerts
| Level | Coin | Score | Driver | Message |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORANGE | FDUSD | 0.6285 | changepoint | FDUSD: High risk (score 0.6285). Price at $0.9974 (26 bps off peg). Primary driver: changepoint. |
Detailed Analysis
DAI
- Price: $0.9997 (3 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3761 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0154
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0957
- MiPD score: 0.1177 (vol: 0.000110, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
FDUSD
- Price: $0.9974 (26 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.6285 — High
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.5713
- Persistence: 253m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: attention (monitor)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.1073
- MiPD score: 0.1387 (vol: 0.000365, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
USDC
- Price: $0.9998 (2 bps off peg)
- Composite score: 0.3712 — Moderate
- Trend: stable
Lane 1 — Price Deviation:
- Score: 0.0079
- Persistence: 0m @ 25bps, 0m @ 50bps, 0m @ 100bps
- Alert: none (stable)
Lane 2 — BOCD:
- Score: 1.0000
- Changepoint probability: 0.9993
- Current run length: 1439 observations
Lane 3 — DIRA Composite:
- Score: 0.0881
- MiPD score: 0.1039 (vol: 0.000048, corr: 0.30)
- LPD score: 0.0600 (curve: 0.33, dex depth Δ: +0.0%)
Methodology: Peg Instability Detector Methodology